Sell in May and Go Away? Not in Crypto…

This is a spreadsheet of Bitcoin monthly aggregate historical returns, from late 2014 to 2023: Data taken from Yahoo Bitcoin historical price charts. Over the last eight years, the first quarter has traditionally been the most dangerous time to invest in Bitcoin, with two of the months (January and March) showing a negative return, but then February is… Read More »

Lehman Brothers Says Hi: Silicon Valley Bank Just Went Under

The failure of Silicon Valley Bank is the second largest in US history. The bank had US $209 billion in assets and US $175.4 billion in deposits at the time of failure, according to the FDIC. In comparison, Lehman Brothers on Monday, September 15th, 2008, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection citing bank debt of $613 billion, $155 billion… Read More »

The SEC Drops the Hammer on Kraken and That Makes Me Happy

Yesterday the US Securities Exchange Commission shut down Kraken’s staking-as-a-service product offering and this legal action will be the death of crypto, according to every article I have read so far. This goes to show you, that the people writing about crypto today were not writing about crypto back in 2017, or even 2020. Back then, most of the… Read More »

Predicting the End of the Bear Market in 2023

This is a chart of Nasdaq that goes back fifty years, to 1972. I have highlighted five historical corrections of 10% or more. First, the bad news. They all lasted longer than one year, from peak to trough with one exception. November 1972 (Index was 133) to September 1974 (63). One year, 10 months, and a decline of… Read More »

The Biggest News Stories of 2022 Give Hope For the Future

It’s not even close. The biggest story of the year happened earlier this week when the news was announced that nuclear fusion was achieved in a laboratory with more energy coming out than going in. Note: Image generated by OpenAI…more on that laterA quick primer on nuclear fusion: Nuclear fusion is a process in which atomic nuclei combine to… Read More »